Wait, will the best game of the week really be on a Thursday Night? Looking at this week's sleight, it really does look like it. Steelers @ Chiefs could be good, but Big Ben was so f***ing terrible last week I'm not sure anymore.
Bears @ Ravens (-6.5)
That seems about right. I have a feeling this might be a very low scoring game, like 17-10 or along those lines. Two offenses that can't get going and two solid, if not very solid, defenses.
Browns @ Texans (-10)
Losing Watt and Mercilus is terrible for the Texans. Against the lowly Browns, their offense should be good enough. But their defense will most certainly struggle against better offenses in the future (hot take!).
Packers @ Vikings (+3)
That's actually a very interesting matchup.
Lions @ Saints (-4.5)
Dolphins @ Falcons (-12)
Patriots @ Jets (+10)
Got into an argument this week with one of my buddies who happens to be a Pats fan (weird people all over, right?) on a group chat. One other friend and I were simply defending the fact that this line was too high (it was -11 Pats at that moment). I believe my friend thought we were saying the Pats were bad or were going to lose that game (probably not) or that they weren't SB contenders (they are) or whatnot, because he got really defensive and spat out arguments and facts that had almost no relation to the line. It was a bit surreal. All we were saying is that from a gambling standpoint, this line was too high considering the teams in play. Clearly one can think this line can be too high and that the Pats are still SB contenders at the same time, which is my case. The Pats should definitely be favorites, only I believe it should be somewhere between 7.5 and 8.5. That does not mean they can't win by 32 (which they very well might), it just means I feel the line is too high. We all have that one friend who can't handle criticism directed at a favorite team or player and takes it as a personal attack. Oh well.
49ers (+10.5) @ Redskins
That's a much tougher one to call than I would have thought. I feel the Redskins are a good team, most likely a playoff contender. Opposing them are the 0-5 49ers. Makes sense that the line is double digit, right? Not so fast. The 49ers are in every single game, having lost the past 4 games by a total of 11 points. They'll stay relatively close here as well.
Buccaneers (-2.5) @ Cardinals
Rams @ Jaguars (-2.5)
Surprisingly, the Jags lead the NFL in point differential thanks to large margins of victory. At the same time, are they really as good as that stat indicates? I don't know, but this line is low enough that I'm willing to "risk" it.
Steelers @ Chiefs (-5)
Surprisingly low line here. The Steelers seem to get a lot of residual respect from Vegas even after being destroyed on their home field by Jacksonville. The Chiefs are clearly the superior team though.
Chargers @ Raiders
No line! I'm guessing the Raiders are favorite by 4-5 points (without Carr) and I'd take them here.
Giants @ Broncos (-12)
That game should have been a good one. It almost certainly won't be. A struggling quarterback with a depleted receiving corps against the best pass defense in the league. Yikes.
Colts @ Titans
No line! I'm thinking the Titans should be slight favorites here as well.
2017 season so far: 35-42
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