Tuesday, October 3, 2017

NFL Lines - Week 4 predictions

Bears (+7.5) @ Packers
That 0.5 is just enough for me to take the Bears. At 7 I would be stuck, not knowing which way to lean. 7.5 is enough to push me over the edge as the Bears aren't terrible.

Saints @ Dolphins (+3)
I don't feel good about either team here.

Titans (-2.5) @ Texans
That's a hard one. The Texans are much better than their 1-2 record indicates, and the Titans are simply very good. It will certainly be one of the better games of week 4.

Jaguars (-3.5) @ Jets

Panthers (+9) @ Patriots
I don't know what to make of the Panthers just yet. Their offense is terrible but their defense has been able to keep them in games (except against the Saints). The Pats torched the Saints and the Saints torched the Panthers. Using kids' logic, the Patriots should make minced meat of the Panthers, but I don't think it will be this simple. I just don't trust the Pats just yet, but am prepared to be proven wrong, as they have done multiple times in the past years.

Lions (+2.5) @ Vikings 

Bills @ Falcons (-8)

Steelers @ Ravens (+3)
Cue the "These two teams don't like each other" soundbite. While the Steelers have definitely been the most accomplished team over the past couple of seasons, the Ravens have had the upper hand in this intense rivalry (including 4 straight wins in Baltimore) and the matches have usually been really close.

Bengals (-3) @ Browns

Rams (+6.5) @ Cowboys
Another pretty good matchup here. The Rams have been incredible on offense so far, scoring almost 36 points per game. They will be a handful for the still not entirely convincing Cowboys on a short week. 6.5 seems too high a spread.

Eagles (+1) @ Chargers
I feel like we should be favorite, especially as we're hovering around 8-12 in most power rankings whereas the Chargers are in the very high 20s and even 30s in some places. I'm not saying the Chargers are an especially bad team.

Giants @ Buccaneers (-3)

49ers @ Cardinals (-7)

Raiders @ Broncos (-3)

Colts (+13) @ Seahawks
Man I don't know how the Seahawks keep getting those very high lines when they haven't shown anything impressive this year. Their offense seemed to come out of a funk last week but they still lost. If you would have told me 4 weeks ago that the 'Hawks would be favorites by almost two touchdowns against Colts, I wouldn't have been surprised. Now, 13 points seems like a lot. Maybe too much. You kinda expect Seattle to finally start playing like the SuperBowl contenders most believe they are, but I'm not convinced yet.

Redskins @ Chiefs (-7)
The best game of the week? It might very well be.

2017 season so far: 24-23

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