Dolphins (+3) @ Ravens
I honestly don't know what to expect anymore from either those teams. I would never put money on that game.
Vikings @ Browns (+9.5)
Seems a tad too high.
Falcons (-4.5) @ Jets
Panthers (+2) @ Bucs
Bears @ Saints (-9)
Colts (+11) @ Bengals
The Colts aren't good and should definitely fire their head coach. However, the Bengals aren't great either and 11 points seems high.
Chargers @ Patriots (-6.5)
Just low enough. At 7 or more I would have picked the Chargers to cover.
Raiders @ Bills (-2.5)
49ers @ Eagles (-13)
That's really high. I would have never guessed that we'd be favorites by 13 points at any points this season. I mean, yes we're playing great, but we're really flawed in a few aspects of the game. Our QB and our world class D-Line has brought us to 6-1, but I would expect our Pythagorean wins to be at least 15% lower. I can't find it after a quick google search, but Football Outsiders has our total of expecting wins at 5.4. We are good, I'm not denying that, but I need to see more from us to say if we're actually the best team in the NFC, let alone the NFL.
Texans @ Seahawks (-5.5)
Cowboys @ Redskins (+2)
I'm still a believer in the Redskins. I think they are better than the Cowboys and honestly can't believe they are underdogs at home.
Steelers @ Lions (+3)
Broncos @ Chiefs (-7.0)
After a tough loss and a longer rest, my guess is that the Chiefs will come out firing on all cylinders.
Season so far: 44-60-2
Showing posts with label NFL Lines. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Lines. Show all posts
Wednesday, October 25, 2017
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 7 results
Chiefs (-3) 30 @ Raiders 31 - X
What a bizarre and unpleasant finish if you were rooting for the Chiefs. I'm not saying the penalties weren't warranted or anything of the sort, but it was frustrating to watch, thinking a team had won twice before seeing that yellow flash on the screen. The Raiders proved more resilient than I had expected. I don't know what that means for their season (they're still 3-4), but it had to be their best game of the season, right?
Buccaneers 27 @ Bills (-3) 30 - PUSH
Cardinals 0 @ Rams (-3.5) 33 - OK
Ouch.
Ravens 16 @ Vikings (-6) 24 - OK
Panthers (-6) 3 @ Bears 17 - X
One surprising result. Even more surprising here is that the two touchdowns were defensive ones and that the winning QB completed 4 passes.
Jaguars 27 @ Colts (+3) 0 - X
Another shutout. Those early games were dreadful.
Saints 26 @ Packers (+5.5) 17 - X
Jets 28 @ Dolphins (-3) 31 - PUSH
Titans (-5.5) 12 @ Browns 9 - X
Hey the Browns covered!
Cowboys 40 @ 49ers (+6) 10 - X
Bengals 14 @ Steelers (-5.5) 29 - OK
Broncos (+1) 0 @ Chargers 21 - X
A third shutout by 20+ points. Oh my.
Seahawks 24 @ Giants (+5.5) 7 - X
Falcons (+3.5) 7 @ Patriots 24 - X
That Falcons offense doesn't look right. I'm far from a football expert, but some play calls felt strange, and quite often ineffective. Even if he had a relatively good completion %, Matt Ryan did miss many open receivers. The pressure from the Pats line was good, but the coverage wasn't that great, and very offense incompletions were due to Ryan overshooting the receiver or, for that Julio Jones attempt in the end zone, too close to the DB. Not taking anything away from the Pats. They played better than I've seen them on defense all year (which is not saying much, to be honest). Did not watch all their games, but from the 3-4 I saw it was their best performance. Yet I'm still not convinced because of how many open receivers there were.
Redskins @ Eagles (-4.5)
Oh man, this game started off so terribly. Out of the first 3 offensive plays we ran, we managed to have 4 penalties called against us. I was thinking "Oh man, this is going to be one of those games, isn't it?". I was prepared for the worst. Then my team showed that perhaps they really were a Super Bowl contender. Our D-Line is extremely talented and makes up for an average secondary. Sadly we lost one of our best LBs in Hicks. In any case, our D was very solid the whole game against an always-underrated Kirk Cousins. It amazes me that this guy is still looked upon as an average QB when he's definitely top 10 in my book. Talking about top QBs in the League, Wentz looked like a freaking Hall of Fame-bound quarterback yesterday. It was amazing. The pick early was stupid, but the rest of the game he was absolutely outstanding. Two plays stand out to me. There's that Houdini trick when he evaded what looked like a surefire sack to run for 17 yards and save a very vital drive. The other one was the TD throw to Clement in the corner of the end zone. It was a fantastically difficult play to pull off under pressure. He's so poised and controlled, and he can pull off plays out of nowhere, it's Aaron Rodgers-esque. Obviously he's FAR from being Rodgers as a second-year QB, but he shows so many flashes of brilliance it's hard not to get excited, even for a mostly apprehensive fan like me.
This week: 4-9-2
Season so far: 44-60-2
Man, this whole thing is really falling apart isn't it? At least the Eagles are winning.
What a bizarre and unpleasant finish if you were rooting for the Chiefs. I'm not saying the penalties weren't warranted or anything of the sort, but it was frustrating to watch, thinking a team had won twice before seeing that yellow flash on the screen. The Raiders proved more resilient than I had expected. I don't know what that means for their season (they're still 3-4), but it had to be their best game of the season, right?
Buccaneers 27 @ Bills (-3) 30 - PUSH
Cardinals 0 @ Rams (-3.5) 33 - OK
Ouch.
Ravens 16 @ Vikings (-6) 24 - OK
Panthers (-6) 3 @ Bears 17 - X
One surprising result. Even more surprising here is that the two touchdowns were defensive ones and that the winning QB completed 4 passes.
Jaguars 27 @ Colts (+3) 0 - X
Another shutout. Those early games were dreadful.
Saints 26 @ Packers (+5.5) 17 - X
Jets 28 @ Dolphins (-3) 31 - PUSH
Titans (-5.5) 12 @ Browns 9 - X
Hey the Browns covered!
Cowboys 40 @ 49ers (+6) 10 - X
Bengals 14 @ Steelers (-5.5) 29 - OK
Broncos (+1) 0 @ Chargers 21 - X
A third shutout by 20+ points. Oh my.
Seahawks 24 @ Giants (+5.5) 7 - X
Falcons (+3.5) 7 @ Patriots 24 - X
That Falcons offense doesn't look right. I'm far from a football expert, but some play calls felt strange, and quite often ineffective. Even if he had a relatively good completion %, Matt Ryan did miss many open receivers. The pressure from the Pats line was good, but the coverage wasn't that great, and very offense incompletions were due to Ryan overshooting the receiver or, for that Julio Jones attempt in the end zone, too close to the DB. Not taking anything away from the Pats. They played better than I've seen them on defense all year (which is not saying much, to be honest). Did not watch all their games, but from the 3-4 I saw it was their best performance. Yet I'm still not convinced because of how many open receivers there were.
Redskins @ Eagles (-4.5)
Oh man, this game started off so terribly. Out of the first 3 offensive plays we ran, we managed to have 4 penalties called against us. I was thinking "Oh man, this is going to be one of those games, isn't it?". I was prepared for the worst. Then my team showed that perhaps they really were a Super Bowl contender. Our D-Line is extremely talented and makes up for an average secondary. Sadly we lost one of our best LBs in Hicks. In any case, our D was very solid the whole game against an always-underrated Kirk Cousins. It amazes me that this guy is still looked upon as an average QB when he's definitely top 10 in my book. Talking about top QBs in the League, Wentz looked like a freaking Hall of Fame-bound quarterback yesterday. It was amazing. The pick early was stupid, but the rest of the game he was absolutely outstanding. Two plays stand out to me. There's that Houdini trick when he evaded what looked like a surefire sack to run for 17 yards and save a very vital drive. The other one was the TD throw to Clement in the corner of the end zone. It was a fantastically difficult play to pull off under pressure. He's so poised and controlled, and he can pull off plays out of nowhere, it's Aaron Rodgers-esque. Obviously he's FAR from being Rodgers as a second-year QB, but he shows so many flashes of brilliance it's hard not to get excited, even for a mostly apprehensive fan like me.
This week: 4-9-2
Season so far: 44-60-2
Man, this whole thing is really falling apart isn't it? At least the Eagles are winning.
Friday, October 6, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 5 predictions
Patriots @ Bucs (+6)
When the biggest Boston homer (who admittedly tends to try to reverse-jinx his team) I know about says this line is too high for the Pats, you know it's too high. New England might very well start playing like actual contenders this week, but I'm not 100% positive that will happen. I'm certainly not trusting the Bucs just yet, but being 6 points underdogs at home against the worst defense in many years is just wrong.
Bills (+3) @ Bengals
While the Bengals woke up last week, it was against the Browns. Therefore, I can't put too much credit into that performance.
Jets @ Browns (-1)
Panthers @ Lions (-2.5)
Two teams I'm still trying to figure out. Are the Panthers "back" or were they merely playing against a terrible defense? By almost any measure, the Lions should be 4-0.
49ers (+1) @ Colts
Titans (-1) @ Dolphins
Chargers @ Giants (-3)
Cardinals @ Eagles (-6.5)
Oh man I'm excited for this one. Not because I think the Cardinals are a walkover, but because this Eagles team is simply exciting if they can run the ball like they did last week. Sadly we're missing many pieces on defense and that could mean Fitz running all over us. But Carson Palmer is prone to poopy performances here and there.
Jaguars @ Steelers (-8)
Seahawks @ Rams (-1)
One of the best games of the weekend. Easily. Really pumped for this one, as the Rams are closer and closer to be considered "for real".
Ravens @ Raiders (-2.5)
Packers (+2) @ Cowboys
Chiefs (-1.5) @ Texans
For my money, the best game this weekend. Happily, it's also SNF and it's a National holiday (Canada) on Monday. I'm incredibly excited for this game.
Vikings (-3.5) @ Bears
2017 season so far: 31-32
When the biggest Boston homer (who admittedly tends to try to reverse-jinx his team) I know about says this line is too high for the Pats, you know it's too high. New England might very well start playing like actual contenders this week, but I'm not 100% positive that will happen. I'm certainly not trusting the Bucs just yet, but being 6 points underdogs at home against the worst defense in many years is just wrong.
Bills (+3) @ Bengals
While the Bengals woke up last week, it was against the Browns. Therefore, I can't put too much credit into that performance.
Jets @ Browns (-1)
Panthers @ Lions (-2.5)
Two teams I'm still trying to figure out. Are the Panthers "back" or were they merely playing against a terrible defense? By almost any measure, the Lions should be 4-0.
49ers (+1) @ Colts
Titans (-1) @ Dolphins
Chargers @ Giants (-3)
Cardinals @ Eagles (-6.5)
Oh man I'm excited for this one. Not because I think the Cardinals are a walkover, but because this Eagles team is simply exciting if they can run the ball like they did last week. Sadly we're missing many pieces on defense and that could mean Fitz running all over us. But Carson Palmer is prone to poopy performances here and there.
Jaguars @ Steelers (-8)
Seahawks @ Rams (-1)
One of the best games of the weekend. Easily. Really pumped for this one, as the Rams are closer and closer to be considered "for real".
Ravens @ Raiders (-2.5)
Packers (+2) @ Cowboys
Chiefs (-1.5) @ Texans
For my money, the best game this weekend. Happily, it's also SNF and it's a National holiday (Canada) on Monday. I'm incredibly excited for this game.
Vikings (-3.5) @ Bears
2017 season so far: 31-32
Wednesday, October 4, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 4 Results
Bears (+7.5) 14 @ Packers 35 - X
Even after the Packers went up 14-0 after what seemed like 34 seconds, I still felt good about this line. In fact, it took me much longer than most people to rule out a cover by Chicago. In the end, I was very much mistaken.
Saints 20 @ Dolphins (+3) 0 - X
Titans (-2.5) 14 @ Texans 57 - X
Almost! Only 45.5 points off. And now the Texans are absolutely legit and should not be underestimated in the AFC.
Jaguars (-3.5) 20 @ Jets 23 - X
Panthers (+9) 33 @ Patriots 30 - OK
Yay, I got one!
Lions (+2.5) 14 @ Vikings 7 - OK
Bills 23 @ Falcons (-8) 17 - X
A very surprising result at first glance. Not as surprising when you consider the best 2 WRs from the Falcons got hurt in the first half.
Steelers 26 @ Ravens (+3) 9 - X
I still believe the Ravens defense is very good, but they are as inept as they come on offense. That was rough to watch.
Bengals (-3) 31 @ Browns 7 - OK
Are the Bengals back?
Rams (+6.5) 35 @ Cowboys 30 - OK
I feel relatively smart getting that one right, even if the rest of the week is relatively poopy for me. Again, the Cowboys aren't convincing and have been the victims of many questionable calls from a coaching standpoint.
Eagles (+1) 26 @ Chargers 24 - OK
I could go on for hours about how this game made me feel. A lot of anger and stress, and ultimately some joy.
Giants 23 @ Buccaneers (-3) 25 - X
Lost on the prediction, won because the Giants lost and are now 0-4. I don't hate the Giants necessarily, it's just that a bad result for them is good news for the Eagles.
49ers 15 @ Cardinals (-7) 18 - X
Raiders 10 @ Broncos (-3) 16 - OK
Colts (+13) 18 @ Seahawks 46 - X
Now this looked more like the Seattle team we were all expecting at the beginning of the year. Even within that game, it took a while to get going, but once they did, they just destroyed a team. Granted, it's a team they should destroy, but it's a good sign nonetheless.
Redskins 20 @ Chiefs (-7) 29 - OK
A very entertaining game through and through. The Chiefs covered in the weirdest way possible with 4 seconds left, making a lot of people angry and happy. This buzzer-beating TD put the margin over 7, giving many gamblers a win. It also put the total number of points scored over 48, which was the line for this game. A friend of mine had bet on both KC -7 and Over 48 points total. With 4 seconds left, both looked nearly impossible.
This week: 7-9
2017 season so far: 31-32
Even after the Packers went up 14-0 after what seemed like 34 seconds, I still felt good about this line. In fact, it took me much longer than most people to rule out a cover by Chicago. In the end, I was very much mistaken.
Saints 20 @ Dolphins (+3) 0 - X
Titans (-2.5) 14 @ Texans 57 - X
Almost! Only 45.5 points off. And now the Texans are absolutely legit and should not be underestimated in the AFC.
Jaguars (-3.5) 20 @ Jets 23 - X
Panthers (+9) 33 @ Patriots 30 - OK
Yay, I got one!
Lions (+2.5) 14 @ Vikings 7 - OK
Bills 23 @ Falcons (-8) 17 - X
A very surprising result at first glance. Not as surprising when you consider the best 2 WRs from the Falcons got hurt in the first half.
Steelers 26 @ Ravens (+3) 9 - X
I still believe the Ravens defense is very good, but they are as inept as they come on offense. That was rough to watch.
Bengals (-3) 31 @ Browns 7 - OK
Are the Bengals back?
Rams (+6.5) 35 @ Cowboys 30 - OK
I feel relatively smart getting that one right, even if the rest of the week is relatively poopy for me. Again, the Cowboys aren't convincing and have been the victims of many questionable calls from a coaching standpoint.
Eagles (+1) 26 @ Chargers 24 - OK
I could go on for hours about how this game made me feel. A lot of anger and stress, and ultimately some joy.
Giants 23 @ Buccaneers (-3) 25 - X
Lost on the prediction, won because the Giants lost and are now 0-4. I don't hate the Giants necessarily, it's just that a bad result for them is good news for the Eagles.
49ers 15 @ Cardinals (-7) 18 - X
Raiders 10 @ Broncos (-3) 16 - OK
Colts (+13) 18 @ Seahawks 46 - X
Now this looked more like the Seattle team we were all expecting at the beginning of the year. Even within that game, it took a while to get going, but once they did, they just destroyed a team. Granted, it's a team they should destroy, but it's a good sign nonetheless.
Redskins 20 @ Chiefs (-7) 29 - OK
A very entertaining game through and through. The Chiefs covered in the weirdest way possible with 4 seconds left, making a lot of people angry and happy. This buzzer-beating TD put the margin over 7, giving many gamblers a win. It also put the total number of points scored over 48, which was the line for this game. A friend of mine had bet on both KC -7 and Over 48 points total. With 4 seconds left, both looked nearly impossible.
This week: 7-9
2017 season so far: 31-32
Tuesday, October 3, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 4 predictions
Bears (+7.5) @ Packers
That 0.5 is just enough for me to take the Bears. At 7 I would be stuck, not knowing which way to lean. 7.5 is enough to push me over the edge as the Bears aren't terrible.
Saints @ Dolphins (+3)
I don't feel good about either team here.
Titans (-2.5) @ Texans
That's a hard one. The Texans are much better than their 1-2 record indicates, and the Titans are simply very good. It will certainly be one of the better games of week 4.
Jaguars (-3.5) @ Jets
Panthers (+9) @ Patriots
I don't know what to make of the Panthers just yet. Their offense is terrible but their defense has been able to keep them in games (except against the Saints). The Pats torched the Saints and the Saints torched the Panthers. Using kids' logic, the Patriots should make minced meat of the Panthers, but I don't think it will be this simple. I just don't trust the Pats just yet, but am prepared to be proven wrong, as they have done multiple times in the past years.
Lions (+2.5) @ Vikings
Bills @ Falcons (-8)
Steelers @ Ravens (+3)
Cue the "These two teams don't like each other" soundbite. While the Steelers have definitely been the most accomplished team over the past couple of seasons, the Ravens have had the upper hand in this intense rivalry (including 4 straight wins in Baltimore) and the matches have usually been really close.
Bengals (-3) @ Browns
Rams (+6.5) @ Cowboys
Another pretty good matchup here. The Rams have been incredible on offense so far, scoring almost 36 points per game. They will be a handful for the still not entirely convincing Cowboys on a short week. 6.5 seems too high a spread.
Eagles (+1) @ Chargers
I feel like we should be favorite, especially as we're hovering around 8-12 in most power rankings whereas the Chargers are in the very high 20s and even 30s in some places. I'm not saying the Chargers are an especially bad team.
Giants @ Buccaneers (-3)
49ers @ Cardinals (-7)
Raiders @ Broncos (-3)
Colts (+13) @ Seahawks
Man I don't know how the Seahawks keep getting those very high lines when they haven't shown anything impressive this year. Their offense seemed to come out of a funk last week but they still lost. If you would have told me 4 weeks ago that the 'Hawks would be favorites by almost two touchdowns against Colts, I wouldn't have been surprised. Now, 13 points seems like a lot. Maybe too much. You kinda expect Seattle to finally start playing like the SuperBowl contenders most believe they are, but I'm not convinced yet.
Redskins @ Chiefs (-7)
The best game of the week? It might very well be.
2017 season so far: 24-23
That 0.5 is just enough for me to take the Bears. At 7 I would be stuck, not knowing which way to lean. 7.5 is enough to push me over the edge as the Bears aren't terrible.
Saints @ Dolphins (+3)
I don't feel good about either team here.
Titans (-2.5) @ Texans
That's a hard one. The Texans are much better than their 1-2 record indicates, and the Titans are simply very good. It will certainly be one of the better games of week 4.
Jaguars (-3.5) @ Jets
Panthers (+9) @ Patriots
I don't know what to make of the Panthers just yet. Their offense is terrible but their defense has been able to keep them in games (except against the Saints). The Pats torched the Saints and the Saints torched the Panthers. Using kids' logic, the Patriots should make minced meat of the Panthers, but I don't think it will be this simple. I just don't trust the Pats just yet, but am prepared to be proven wrong, as they have done multiple times in the past years.
Lions (+2.5) @ Vikings
Bills @ Falcons (-8)
Steelers @ Ravens (+3)
Cue the "These two teams don't like each other" soundbite. While the Steelers have definitely been the most accomplished team over the past couple of seasons, the Ravens have had the upper hand in this intense rivalry (including 4 straight wins in Baltimore) and the matches have usually been really close.
Bengals (-3) @ Browns
Rams (+6.5) @ Cowboys
Another pretty good matchup here. The Rams have been incredible on offense so far, scoring almost 36 points per game. They will be a handful for the still not entirely convincing Cowboys on a short week. 6.5 seems too high a spread.
Eagles (+1) @ Chargers
I feel like we should be favorite, especially as we're hovering around 8-12 in most power rankings whereas the Chargers are in the very high 20s and even 30s in some places. I'm not saying the Chargers are an especially bad team.
Giants @ Buccaneers (-3)
49ers @ Cardinals (-7)
Raiders @ Broncos (-3)
Colts (+13) @ Seahawks
Man I don't know how the Seahawks keep getting those very high lines when they haven't shown anything impressive this year. Their offense seemed to come out of a funk last week but they still lost. If you would have told me 4 weeks ago that the 'Hawks would be favorites by almost two touchdowns against Colts, I wouldn't have been surprised. Now, 13 points seems like a lot. Maybe too much. You kinda expect Seattle to finally start playing like the SuperBowl contenders most believe they are, but I'm not convinced yet.
Redskins @ Chiefs (-7)
The best game of the week? It might very well be.
2017 season so far: 24-23
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 3 results
Rams (-2.5) 41 @ 49ers 39 - X
Holy backdoor cover, Batman! I can't believe this game ended the way it did. Everyone and their mother thought it was going to be awful, yet it was, by some margin, the highest scoring game of the week. 80 points.
Ravens (-4) 7 @ Jaguars 44 - X
Almost!
Browns 28 @ Colts (+1) 31 - OK
Yay, I got one right!
Broncos (-3) 16 @ Bills 26 - X
Texans 33 @ Patriots (-13) 36 - X
Hard to believe the Pats got out of that game alive. It really felt like the game belonged to the Texans, who might really be good this year, despite the rocky start to the season.
Dolphins 6 @ Jets (+5.5) 20 - OK
Saints 34 @ Panthers (-5.5) 13 - X
Steelers 17 @ Bears (+8.5) 23 - OK
The Steelers are really struggling aren't they? Especially since they probably should have lost that game in regulation. This game did provide perhaps the most entertaining highlight bit of the whole day, at the very end of the first half. Chicago blocked a FG, then ran it back the whole field before the Bear decided to stop running short of the end zone and was stripped of the ball by an oncoming Steeler, who then batted the ball out of bounds in the end zone. After much debate about what was going to happen, the Bears got the ball back at the half-yard line with a single play to go as the Steelers were charged with a penalty for batting the ball out. Thinking the half over, the Steelers ran into their locker room, before coming back onto the field a few minutes later. Obviously, the Bears tried to go for 7 but got called for a false start, after which they did hit a FG to make the score 17-7. It was quite a bizarre sequence of events.
Giants 24 @ Eagles 27 (-6) - X
God damn we almost blew that game. I would have been really pissed. As a matter of fact, I was really pissed when the Giants took the lead in the 4th. I knew in my heart that OBJ would make the Eagles' life miserable and he did for a while. Then he did a boneheaded "celebration". Just f***ing dance or something. Why do you have to do something that incredibly dumb? He knew he was going to get penalized. I mean, not a single soul on the Giants organization applauded that celebration. He's insanely talented and a joy to watch on the field, but so often he acts like a moron and it's disappointing. I don't mind trash-talking the crowd at all, that's part of the game and he probably feeds off that. I don't mind celebrating by angering the crowd.
Anyway, it's all moot since we won. Thanks to that massive FG by Jake Elliott. Man that kid must feel ecstatic, a true hero to Philadelphians and Eagles fans everywhere. What a crazy game.
Falcons (-3) 30 @ Lions 26 - OK
Talk about crazy games. I understand that's how the rules work, but that 10 second runoff at the end was perhaps the most anti-climactic way to end a game. It just does not feel right to end that way, no matter what the rules say.
Buccaneers 17 @ Vikings 34 - X
I wrote quickly that I'd take the Bucs in that matchup even as there was no line out yet. This looked even smarter as Bradford was ruled out by the end of the week. Welp.
Seahawks 27 @ Titans (-3) 33 - OK
The Seahawks offense woke up a little bit yesterday, as Russell Wilson had a monster game (I benched him, funnily enough, in fantasy. But I won my week by a wide, very wide margin, anyway).
Bengals 24 @ Packers (-9) 27 - X
This is kinda why I don't trust the Packers in the playoffs usually. They really need a shit-ton of bailing out every year (almost every week, even) by Aaron Rodgers. The man is one of the greatest QBs ever, but he can't save them every single time. Yesterday he did, but at some point playing poorly for long stretches catches up to them.
Chiefs (-3) 24 @ Chargers 10 - OK
Raiders (-3) 10 @ Redskins 27 - X
That was a very impressive performance by the Redskins. They definitely looked like the best team in the NFC East yesterday. And they might be, if they can play like that every week. Makes our victory over them in week 1 that much more impressive.
Cowboys (-3) 28 @ Cardinals 17 - OK
I really wanted the Cowboys to lose, no matter what my prediction said. (I always want the Cowboys to lose, let's be clear). Now we have three 2-1 teams in the division. I figured it was going to be a very tightly contested division, and it's really shaping up to be one.
This week: 7-9
Season so far: 24-23
Holy backdoor cover, Batman! I can't believe this game ended the way it did. Everyone and their mother thought it was going to be awful, yet it was, by some margin, the highest scoring game of the week. 80 points.
Ravens (-4) 7 @ Jaguars 44 - X
Almost!
Browns 28 @ Colts (+1) 31 - OK
Yay, I got one right!
Broncos (-3) 16 @ Bills 26 - X
Texans 33 @ Patriots (-13) 36 - X
Hard to believe the Pats got out of that game alive. It really felt like the game belonged to the Texans, who might really be good this year, despite the rocky start to the season.
Dolphins 6 @ Jets (+5.5) 20 - OK
Saints 34 @ Panthers (-5.5) 13 - X
Steelers 17 @ Bears (+8.5) 23 - OK
The Steelers are really struggling aren't they? Especially since they probably should have lost that game in regulation. This game did provide perhaps the most entertaining highlight bit of the whole day, at the very end of the first half. Chicago blocked a FG, then ran it back the whole field before the Bear decided to stop running short of the end zone and was stripped of the ball by an oncoming Steeler, who then batted the ball out of bounds in the end zone. After much debate about what was going to happen, the Bears got the ball back at the half-yard line with a single play to go as the Steelers were charged with a penalty for batting the ball out. Thinking the half over, the Steelers ran into their locker room, before coming back onto the field a few minutes later. Obviously, the Bears tried to go for 7 but got called for a false start, after which they did hit a FG to make the score 17-7. It was quite a bizarre sequence of events.
Giants 24 @ Eagles 27 (-6) - X
God damn we almost blew that game. I would have been really pissed. As a matter of fact, I was really pissed when the Giants took the lead in the 4th. I knew in my heart that OBJ would make the Eagles' life miserable and he did for a while. Then he did a boneheaded "celebration". Just f***ing dance or something. Why do you have to do something that incredibly dumb? He knew he was going to get penalized. I mean, not a single soul on the Giants organization applauded that celebration. He's insanely talented and a joy to watch on the field, but so often he acts like a moron and it's disappointing. I don't mind trash-talking the crowd at all, that's part of the game and he probably feeds off that. I don't mind celebrating by angering the crowd.
Anyway, it's all moot since we won. Thanks to that massive FG by Jake Elliott. Man that kid must feel ecstatic, a true hero to Philadelphians and Eagles fans everywhere. What a crazy game.
Falcons (-3) 30 @ Lions 26 - OK
Talk about crazy games. I understand that's how the rules work, but that 10 second runoff at the end was perhaps the most anti-climactic way to end a game. It just does not feel right to end that way, no matter what the rules say.
Buccaneers 17 @ Vikings 34 - X
I wrote quickly that I'd take the Bucs in that matchup even as there was no line out yet. This looked even smarter as Bradford was ruled out by the end of the week. Welp.
Seahawks 27 @ Titans (-3) 33 - OK
The Seahawks offense woke up a little bit yesterday, as Russell Wilson had a monster game (I benched him, funnily enough, in fantasy. But I won my week by a wide, very wide margin, anyway).
Bengals 24 @ Packers (-9) 27 - X
This is kinda why I don't trust the Packers in the playoffs usually. They really need a shit-ton of bailing out every year (almost every week, even) by Aaron Rodgers. The man is one of the greatest QBs ever, but he can't save them every single time. Yesterday he did, but at some point playing poorly for long stretches catches up to them.
Chiefs (-3) 24 @ Chargers 10 - OK
Raiders (-3) 10 @ Redskins 27 - X
That was a very impressive performance by the Redskins. They definitely looked like the best team in the NFC East yesterday. And they might be, if they can play like that every week. Makes our victory over them in week 1 that much more impressive.
Cowboys (-3) 28 @ Cardinals 17 - OK
I really wanted the Cowboys to lose, no matter what my prediction said. (I always want the Cowboys to lose, let's be clear). Now we have three 2-1 teams in the division. I figured it was going to be a very tightly contested division, and it's really shaping up to be one.
This week: 7-9
Season so far: 24-23
Thursday, September 21, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 3 predictions
So many road favorites this week. It's kinda staggering when you hear/read the stats at first (10 out of 16!), but when you go down the list of games, it does make sense. The better teams are playing on the road this week. And in many cases, the road team is significantly better than the home team. I even thought some road favorites had relatively low lines. If I was a betting man, I'd jump on some of them (Broncos and Raiders, first and foremost).
Rams (-2.5) @ 49ers
That's a Thursday night game I'm relatively interested in, since these are two teams I don't see play that often. To be honest, it's mostly the Rams here. Last year I watched only one of their games and they played really great, so my opinion of them is biased.
Ravens (-4) @ Jaguars
Morning football! Usually the weekend mornings are me watching European soccer. If I find the time on my normally busy weekends, I'll try to catch the Ravens, that's for sure.
Browns @ Colts (+1)
While I believe the Browns aren't as bad this year, I'm still not ready to bet them on the road, even against an even poopier team in the Colts.
Broncos (-3) @ Bills
The Bills haven't been especially bad, but they can't score it seems. While the Broncos offense isn't world-class, it's certainly able to put a few points on the board.
Texans @ Patriots (-13)
It seems to me the Pats always destroy the Texans. Looking at the past few matchups, the Pats have indeed beaten Houston by large margins lately. 28, 13, 3, 21, 27, 18. Only one legitimately close game in this lot.
Dolphins @ Jets (+5.5)
Saints @ Panthers (-5.5)
I don't know what to make of either teams, but at least Carolina's defense has been excellent so far (6 points allowed in two games).
Steelers @ Bears (+8.5)
Giants @ Eagles (-6)
The Eagles have been actually good in the opening couple of weeks. The Giants have been quite the opposite. Add the fact that it's our home opener and I think this game is ours. The only thing I can see playing a factor in a hypothetical loss is if OBJ explodes against our relatively weak secondary.
Falcons (-3) @ Lions
The Lions might be much better than most people anticipated. Or not. They're a team that could go 4-12 this season or 12-4 and I wouldn't bat an eye. At the same time, I think the Falcons are going to be the cream of the crop in the NFC this season once again, so I'm not betting against them.
Buccaneers @ Vikings
No line yet! If I treat this as a pick'em, which it very well might be, I'd pick the Buccaneers.
Seahawks @ Titans (-3)
The Seahawks have to show me they have a functional offense for me to bet for them on the road ever again. It's completely ridiculous that a team with such a stellar defense is so poopy on offense. And it's not like they don't have skilled players on offense.
Bengals @ Packers (-9)
The Bengals have been horrendous so far. It's in Lambeau. I'm guessing a beatdown here.
Chiefs (-3) @ Chargers
Line seems quite low as the Chiefs have been stellar so far.
Raiders (-3) @ Redskins
Another seemingly low line here. The Redskins aren't bad by any means but the Raiders look vastly superior.
Cowboys (-3) @ Cardinals
Tough one here. It's the Cards home opener after two lackluster games. The Cowboys have been exposed badly last week. I expect both teams to come out guns blazing. In such a game, I expect the Cowboys to be better. But I want them to lose 56-0 still.
Season so far: 17-14
Rams (-2.5) @ 49ers
That's a Thursday night game I'm relatively interested in, since these are two teams I don't see play that often. To be honest, it's mostly the Rams here. Last year I watched only one of their games and they played really great, so my opinion of them is biased.
Ravens (-4) @ Jaguars
Morning football! Usually the weekend mornings are me watching European soccer. If I find the time on my normally busy weekends, I'll try to catch the Ravens, that's for sure.
Browns @ Colts (+1)
While I believe the Browns aren't as bad this year, I'm still not ready to bet them on the road, even against an even poopier team in the Colts.
Broncos (-3) @ Bills
The Bills haven't been especially bad, but they can't score it seems. While the Broncos offense isn't world-class, it's certainly able to put a few points on the board.
Texans @ Patriots (-13)
It seems to me the Pats always destroy the Texans. Looking at the past few matchups, the Pats have indeed beaten Houston by large margins lately. 28, 13, 3, 21, 27, 18. Only one legitimately close game in this lot.
Dolphins @ Jets (+5.5)
Saints @ Panthers (-5.5)
I don't know what to make of either teams, but at least Carolina's defense has been excellent so far (6 points allowed in two games).
Steelers @ Bears (+8.5)
Giants @ Eagles (-6)
The Eagles have been actually good in the opening couple of weeks. The Giants have been quite the opposite. Add the fact that it's our home opener and I think this game is ours. The only thing I can see playing a factor in a hypothetical loss is if OBJ explodes against our relatively weak secondary.
Falcons (-3) @ Lions
The Lions might be much better than most people anticipated. Or not. They're a team that could go 4-12 this season or 12-4 and I wouldn't bat an eye. At the same time, I think the Falcons are going to be the cream of the crop in the NFC this season once again, so I'm not betting against them.
Buccaneers @ Vikings
No line yet! If I treat this as a pick'em, which it very well might be, I'd pick the Buccaneers.
Seahawks @ Titans (-3)
The Seahawks have to show me they have a functional offense for me to bet for them on the road ever again. It's completely ridiculous that a team with such a stellar defense is so poopy on offense. And it's not like they don't have skilled players on offense.
Bengals @ Packers (-9)
The Bengals have been horrendous so far. It's in Lambeau. I'm guessing a beatdown here.
Chiefs (-3) @ Chargers
Line seems quite low as the Chiefs have been stellar so far.
Raiders (-3) @ Redskins
Another seemingly low line here. The Redskins aren't bad by any means but the Raiders look vastly superior.
Cowboys (-3) @ Cardinals
Tough one here. It's the Cards home opener after two lackluster games. The Cowboys have been exposed badly last week. I expect both teams to come out guns blazing. In such a game, I expect the Cowboys to be better. But I want them to lose 56-0 still.
Season so far: 17-14
Friday, September 15, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 2 predictions
Last week I was 7-8 against the spread, which isn't absolutely terrible, but certainly not what anyone would call good. This week, I changed the source for the lines after a discussion with a friend who does his gambling on another website. His lines were often up to 2 points larger or smaller than the ones I had. This actually made things harder for certain lines. For example, the Raiders line on that other website was -15, here it's -13. At -15 I probably would have taken the points for the Jets, as 2+ touchdowns is a lot. 13 points is just low enough for me to pick the Raiders. In any case, here are my picks.
Texans (+6) @ Bengals
Both teams have crapped the bed in the first game, losing their respective game by 23 and 20 points. I expect both to bounce back, but I trust the Texans a bit more.
Cardinals @ Colts (+7.5)
I switched this pick a few times, but then realized that the Cardinals played a poor game last week and their best offensive player is injured. So it will likely be a low-scoring affair, 13-7 or something.
Patriots (-7) @ Saints
I can't see the Pats starting 0-2 just yet. If it happens I wouldn't be that surprised, but I'm not expecting such a thing to occur.
Eagles (+6) @ Chiefs
This will be a tough one, but I think our D line keeps us close enough, and perhaps put us over the top. My money would be on a 3 or 4-point win by the Chiefs.
Bears @ Bucs (-7.0)
The Bucs haven't played a regular season game yet so they might be rusty, but they have much, much more talent than the Bears and should win their first game handily.
Vikings (+5) @ Steelers
I always feel like the Vikings are overlooked, and I don't think they should be. The line is actually closer than I would have expected, given the mad respect people usually have for Pittsburgh, but I still feel the Vikings can cover and perhaps win.
Browns @ Ravens (-8)
While the Browns' cover last week was impressive, I doubt they can do the same in one of the toughest home fields in the NFL.
Bills (+8.5) @ Panthers
I'm not yet sold on the Panthers. I like the team, I like Cam and they have as a linebacker perhaps my favourite non-Eagles player to watch, Luke Kuechly. I also believe the Bills are actually a decent team,
Titans (-2) @ Jaguars
This is another one I changed my mind on a few times. The Jaguars had an impressive performance last week, registering 10 (!!) sacks against a struggling Houston team. The Titans are a superior team and the line is basically a pick'em at this point.
Jets @ Raiders (-13)
13 points is a lot. Then again, the Jets aren't very good and the Raiders are definitely a top team in the AFC and they're at home. On that absolutely scorching take, I'm picking the Raiders.
Dolphins @ Chargers (-4)
These are two teams I know little about. I'm basing that pick on absolutely nothing except that the Chargers play at home in that "tiny" stadium of theirs.
49ers @ Seahawks (-14)
Man that line is high. Then again, the 49ers have lost 7 straight games to the Seahawks and games played in the state of Washington tend to be blowouts. That's what I'm expecting here.
Cowboys @ Broncos (+2.5)
In a matchup between an amazing offense and an amazing defense, I always pick the amazing defense. Always.
Redskins @ Rams (-3)
The Redskins showed flashes agains the Eagles last week, but except for a few good plays by Josh Norman, the defense looked mediocre. I haven't seen the Rams play last week and you can't put that much stock into beating the poor Colts, but they're definitely a better team in 2017 than they were in 2016.
Packers @ Falcons (-2.5)
Man, what a game this might turn out to be. Signs point to a offensive fest, but so often those games end up being defensive struggles. I'm hyped for this one, that's for certain.
Lions @ Giants (-3)
With the talent surrounding them in the NFC East, this is almost already a must-win for the Giants. If OBJ is ready to go, they won't lose two weeks in a row.
Texans (+6) @ Bengals
Both teams have crapped the bed in the first game, losing their respective game by 23 and 20 points. I expect both to bounce back, but I trust the Texans a bit more.
Cardinals @ Colts (+7.5)
I switched this pick a few times, but then realized that the Cardinals played a poor game last week and their best offensive player is injured. So it will likely be a low-scoring affair, 13-7 or something.
Patriots (-7) @ Saints
I can't see the Pats starting 0-2 just yet. If it happens I wouldn't be that surprised, but I'm not expecting such a thing to occur.
Eagles (+6) @ Chiefs
This will be a tough one, but I think our D line keeps us close enough, and perhaps put us over the top. My money would be on a 3 or 4-point win by the Chiefs.
Bears @ Bucs (-7.0)
The Bucs haven't played a regular season game yet so they might be rusty, but they have much, much more talent than the Bears and should win their first game handily.
Vikings (+5) @ Steelers
I always feel like the Vikings are overlooked, and I don't think they should be. The line is actually closer than I would have expected, given the mad respect people usually have for Pittsburgh, but I still feel the Vikings can cover and perhaps win.
Browns @ Ravens (-8)
While the Browns' cover last week was impressive, I doubt they can do the same in one of the toughest home fields in the NFL.
Bills (+8.5) @ Panthers
I'm not yet sold on the Panthers. I like the team, I like Cam and they have as a linebacker perhaps my favourite non-Eagles player to watch, Luke Kuechly. I also believe the Bills are actually a decent team,
Titans (-2) @ Jaguars
This is another one I changed my mind on a few times. The Jaguars had an impressive performance last week, registering 10 (!!) sacks against a struggling Houston team. The Titans are a superior team and the line is basically a pick'em at this point.
Jets @ Raiders (-13)
13 points is a lot. Then again, the Jets aren't very good and the Raiders are definitely a top team in the AFC and they're at home. On that absolutely scorching take, I'm picking the Raiders.
Dolphins @ Chargers (-4)
These are two teams I know little about. I'm basing that pick on absolutely nothing except that the Chargers play at home in that "tiny" stadium of theirs.
49ers @ Seahawks (-14)
Man that line is high. Then again, the 49ers have lost 7 straight games to the Seahawks and games played in the state of Washington tend to be blowouts. That's what I'm expecting here.
Cowboys @ Broncos (+2.5)
In a matchup between an amazing offense and an amazing defense, I always pick the amazing defense. Always.
Redskins @ Rams (-3)
The Redskins showed flashes agains the Eagles last week, but except for a few good plays by Josh Norman, the defense looked mediocre. I haven't seen the Rams play last week and you can't put that much stock into beating the poor Colts, but they're definitely a better team in 2017 than they were in 2016.
Packers @ Falcons (-2.5)
Man, what a game this might turn out to be. Signs point to a offensive fest, but so often those games end up being defensive struggles. I'm hyped for this one, that's for certain.
Lions @ Giants (-3)
With the talent surrounding them in the NFC East, this is almost already a must-win for the Giants. If OBJ is ready to go, they won't lose two weeks in a row.
Tuesday, September 12, 2017
NFL Lines - Week 1 results
Overall, it was not a great week for me trying to pick the spread (7-8). Even picking an outright winner didn't work as well as I'd hoped (Texans, Pats, Cards, Bengals, Seahawks and Giants all lost games I'd thought they'd win.
Chiefs (+9.0) 42 @ Patriots 27 - OK
Jets 12 @ Bills (-7.5) 21 - OK
Cardinals (-1.5) 23 @ Lions 35 - X
Eagles (-1.5) 30 @ Redskins 17 - OK
F*** yeah! And the Eagles defense scored 25 points for me in fantasy, more than any other player.
Jaguars 29 @ Texans (-6) 7 - X
Hey now, I was only 28 points off on this one. Not that bad right? Right?
Raiders (+2) 26 @ Titans 16 - OK
Steelers (-9) 21 @ Browns 18 - X
Much tighter than I think anybody expected.
Falcons (-7) 23 @ Bears 17 - X
Ravens 20 @ Bengals (-3) 0 (PUSH) - X
You don't see a shutout that often in this league. Impressive stuff by the Ravens.
Colts 9 @ Rams (-3.5) 46 - OK
The Colts are not very good at football for an NFL team. That's my hot take of the week.
Panthers (-5.5) 23@ 49ers 3 - OK
Neither are the 49ers.
Seahawks (+3.0) 9 @ Green Bay 17 - X
That Seahawks defense is absolutely ridiculous. I was amazed that the Packers managed to score that many points.
Giants (+4) 3 @ Cowboys 19 - X
Ezekiel Elliot is a freaking monster. At times, he shredded what was the second best defense in the League in 2016. It's insane.
Oh, and the Giants can't do shit on offense without Beckham it seems. I'm guessing next match between both team will be very, very different if he's 100%.
Saints 19 @ Vikings (-3.5) 29 - OK
Chargers 21 @ Broncos (-3.5) 24 - X
This week: 7-8
Season so far: 7-8
Chiefs (+9.0) 42 @ Patriots 27 - OK
Jets 12 @ Bills (-7.5) 21 - OK
Cardinals (-1.5) 23 @ Lions 35 - X
Eagles (-1.5) 30 @ Redskins 17 - OK
F*** yeah! And the Eagles defense scored 25 points for me in fantasy, more than any other player.
Jaguars 29 @ Texans (-6) 7 - X
Hey now, I was only 28 points off on this one. Not that bad right? Right?
Raiders (+2) 26 @ Titans 16 - OK
Steelers (-9) 21 @ Browns 18 - X
Much tighter than I think anybody expected.
Falcons (-7) 23 @ Bears 17 - X
Ravens 20 @ Bengals (-3) 0 (PUSH) - X
You don't see a shutout that often in this league. Impressive stuff by the Ravens.
Colts 9 @ Rams (-3.5) 46 - OK
The Colts are not very good at football for an NFL team. That's my hot take of the week.
Panthers (-5.5) 23@ 49ers 3 - OK
Neither are the 49ers.
Seahawks (+3.0) 9 @ Green Bay 17 - X
That Seahawks defense is absolutely ridiculous. I was amazed that the Packers managed to score that many points.
Giants (+4) 3 @ Cowboys 19 - X
Ezekiel Elliot is a freaking monster. At times, he shredded what was the second best defense in the League in 2016. It's insane.
Oh, and the Giants can't do shit on offense without Beckham it seems. I'm guessing next match between both team will be very, very different if he's 100%.
Saints 19 @ Vikings (-3.5) 29 - OK
Chargers 21 @ Broncos (-3.5) 24 - X
This week: 7-8
Season so far: 7-8
Saturday, September 9, 2017
NFL Week 1 Picks
As the season progresses, I might have longer write-ups for individual games. For now, I'm just pointing out general impressions.
Chiefs (+9.0) @ Patriots
I'm certain the Chiefs will cover even if they lose, but I still predict a relatively close game.
Jets @ Bills (-7.5)
The Jets are just terrible, I don't feel okay picking them any time soon. Also, I have Shady McCoy on my fantasy so I want him to go for 25 rushes, 168 yards and 2 TDs. At least.
Cardinals (-1.5) @ Lions
As I think will be the case with the Panthers, the Cardinals are too good of a team to have another sub-500 season. I have no grasp on the Lions yet though. I see the talent, especially on offense, but I don't know whether it'll come together.
Eagles (-1.5) @ Redskins
Extremely surprising line, as I think the Redskins and my team, the Eagles, are very closely matched and homefield usually reigns supreme in such cases. I like my team still, so I'll take it in a very close game.
Jaguars @ Texans (-6)
Perhaps the toughest matchup for me to pick this week. Ultimately, the Jaguars almost always disappoint and JJ Watt is back. So there.
Raiders (+2) @ Titans
Another very interesting matchup. The Titans are supposed to be much better this year and the Raiders are picked by many experts to regress a little bit. This is probably why the line is in the Titans' favour. I'm not sold just yet, although I do expect a very close game.
Steelers (-9) @ Browns
The Steelers are arguably the most loaded team in the league on offense and are more than competent on defense. The Browns are the Browns.
Falcons (-7) @ Bears
I really like the Bears and I would love to see them be a good football team again, but the Falcons are much, much better. This might be a blowout.
Ravens @ Bengals (-3) (PUSH)
Seems like the perfect line for this matchup, one of the most interesting of the weekend for me (the Ravens are my "official" favourite AFC team).
Colts @ Rams (-3.5)
This is one game I have zero interest in. The Rams' defense should reign supreme over the Colts.
Panthers (-5.5) @ 49ers
I believe in a Panthers' bounce back season this year. If Cam and Luke are healthy, they should be right there with the Packers and Seahawks atop the NFC in January.
Seahawks (+3.0) @ Green Bay
This is the best game of the week, and I can't see any of these team winning by more than 3-4 points. I trust the Seahawks slightly more than I do the Packers though as, in my book, defense trumps offense most of the time.
Giants (+4) @ Cowboys
I know Ezekiel is playing this weekend, but the Giants play the Cowboys so well. I feel they are arguably the best team in the always very competitive NFC East. This is going to be a fun one!
Saints @ Vikings (-3.5)
Two teams I know very little about here, as both have been mediocre for a few years now and aren't usually featured at length in podcasts or on national TV (not that it matters this year for me). I do however trust defensive teams more than offensive ones.
Chargers @ Broncos (-3.5)
I don't have a good feel on either these teams I don't watch that regularly, but I know the Broncos have an insanely talented defense. Also this game is so late there's no chance I'm watching more than maybe a quarter.
Chiefs (+9.0) @ Patriots
I'm certain the Chiefs will cover even if they lose, but I still predict a relatively close game.
Jets @ Bills (-7.5)
The Jets are just terrible, I don't feel okay picking them any time soon. Also, I have Shady McCoy on my fantasy so I want him to go for 25 rushes, 168 yards and 2 TDs. At least.
Cardinals (-1.5) @ Lions
As I think will be the case with the Panthers, the Cardinals are too good of a team to have another sub-500 season. I have no grasp on the Lions yet though. I see the talent, especially on offense, but I don't know whether it'll come together.
Eagles (-1.5) @ Redskins
Extremely surprising line, as I think the Redskins and my team, the Eagles, are very closely matched and homefield usually reigns supreme in such cases. I like my team still, so I'll take it in a very close game.
Jaguars @ Texans (-6)
Perhaps the toughest matchup for me to pick this week. Ultimately, the Jaguars almost always disappoint and JJ Watt is back. So there.
Raiders (+2) @ Titans
Another very interesting matchup. The Titans are supposed to be much better this year and the Raiders are picked by many experts to regress a little bit. This is probably why the line is in the Titans' favour. I'm not sold just yet, although I do expect a very close game.
Steelers (-9) @ Browns
The Steelers are arguably the most loaded team in the league on offense and are more than competent on defense. The Browns are the Browns.
Falcons (-7) @ Bears
I really like the Bears and I would love to see them be a good football team again, but the Falcons are much, much better. This might be a blowout.
Ravens @ Bengals (-3) (PUSH)
Seems like the perfect line for this matchup, one of the most interesting of the weekend for me (the Ravens are my "official" favourite AFC team).
Colts @ Rams (-3.5)
This is one game I have zero interest in. The Rams' defense should reign supreme over the Colts.
Panthers (-5.5) @ 49ers
I believe in a Panthers' bounce back season this year. If Cam and Luke are healthy, they should be right there with the Packers and Seahawks atop the NFC in January.
Seahawks (+3.0) @ Green Bay
This is the best game of the week, and I can't see any of these team winning by more than 3-4 points. I trust the Seahawks slightly more than I do the Packers though as, in my book, defense trumps offense most of the time.
Giants (+4) @ Cowboys
I know Ezekiel is playing this weekend, but the Giants play the Cowboys so well. I feel they are arguably the best team in the always very competitive NFC East. This is going to be a fun one!
Saints @ Vikings (-3.5)
Two teams I know very little about here, as both have been mediocre for a few years now and aren't usually featured at length in podcasts or on national TV (not that it matters this year for me). I do however trust defensive teams more than offensive ones.
Chargers @ Broncos (-3.5)
I don't have a good feel on either these teams I don't watch that regularly, but I know the Broncos have an insanely talented defense. Also this game is so late there's no chance I'm watching more than maybe a quarter.
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